Which route to take
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Untreated: fresh and local
Short shelf life, refrigerated throughout, sold within days, usually direct or through a small number of nearby outlets. The product tastes like the fruit and the logistics are the hard part.
Treated: longer and wider
A shelf life measured in weeks or months, distribution that can use a warehouse, and a product that survives the journey. The treatment costs money and changes the character.
The capital difference is the obvious one
A pasteuriser or a high-pressure service is a real cost. The less obvious difference is the facility requirement, which can be harder to solve than the equipment.
The margin difference runs the other way
Fresh untreated juice commands a premium and sells in small volumes. Treated juice competes on a shelf against larger producers with better costs.
And the waste profile differs
A three-day shelf life means forecasting demand closely or throwing product away. That is a running cost that does not appear on an equipment quote.
Many producers do both
Fresh for local and direct, treated for anything that has to travel. That is two HACCP positions, two labels and two shelf lives, which is more work than it sounds.
Decide before the brand
Because the brand promise differs. A fresh cold pressed identity does not transfer cleanly to a pasteurised product, and customers notice the change before they are told about it.
And decide before the container
A refrigerated three-day product and a shelf stable three-month product want different bottles, different closures and different barrier properties.
Test the market before the equipment
Selling untreated locally for a season tells you whether there is demand before a pasteuriser is bought. The warning is on the bottle either way, and the answer it gives you is cheap.