What to charge
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What goes into a bag
- Green coffee, at the cost of the green that became this bag, not the cost of the roasted weight.
- Roast loss, which is real and varies with roast level.
- Energy for the roaster, which is substantial.
- Packaging, which for valve bags is a meaningful per-unit cost.
- Labor, including packing, which is slower than people estimate.
- Stale stock, which is a continuous cost in a product with a date.
Cost the green, not the roasted weight
A kilogram of roasted coffee came from noticeably more than a kilogram of green, and costing from the finished weight understates the input by the whole roast loss. Measure it on your own equipment for your own profiles rather than using a figure from somewhere else.
Staleness is a cost line
In a product sold on freshness, stock that passed its date is written off rather than discounted into the market you are trying to build. Put a percentage in the model from the start and track it, because it is the number that tells you whether your batch sizes are right.
Wholesale to cafes is a different calculation
Larger volumes, lower prices, more consistency expected and often equipment or training thrown in. It stabilizes production in a way retail does not, and it has to be costed on its own terms rather than as retail minus a discount.
Bulk is where the packaging cost falls away
Selling into a refill counter or to a cafe in a 4.7 liter container means a fraction of the packaging cost per unit of coffee. That is a real margin difference and it is one of the few places where this property’s economics improve with scale rather than against it.
Do not price against the supermarket
A large roaster buys green at a scale you cannot approach and sells coffee that is months old without that being a problem for their model. The comparison that works is other small roasters and what the buyer is actually choosing between.
Decide the subscription price separately
A subscription smooths production, removes most of the staleness problem and costs shipping on every delivery. It is a genuinely different economic shape from either retail or wholesale, and pricing it as retail with free shipping is how it quietly loses money.